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Wall Street keeps lofty SpaceX targets as stock stalls

Citigroup projects a $12 trillion market cap for SpaceX, but the stock has yet to reach post-IPO momentum.

By TMRO Staff·2 min read

Key points

  • Citigroup projects $12 trillion market cap for SpaceX
  • SpaceX stock struggles to gain post-IPO momentum
  • AI boom cited as driver of lofty valuations
  • Investment-bank research keeps astronomical targets

Wall Street banks are keeping astronomical price targets on SpaceX's stock even as the company struggles to achieve post-IPO exit velocity. Citigroup, for instance, projects a $12 trillion market capitalization for SpaceX, a figure that reflects the AI boom's influence on valuations. The stock's performance, however, has not yet matched these lofty expectations.

Investment-bank research continues to support high valuations for SpaceX, but the company's shares have yet to gain the momentum that would justify such targets. The disconnect between analyst projections and market reality raises questions about the sustainability of these price targets.

The AI boom's role in SpaceX's valuation

Citigroup's $12 trillion market-cap projection is tied to the broader AI boom, which has driven up valuations across technology sectors. SpaceX, as a major player in space technology, benefits from this trend, but its stock performance has not kept pace. The bank's research suggests that SpaceX's potential in AI-related applications could justify the high target, but investors remain cautious.

What investors should watch

Investors need to consider the gap between analyst price targets and actual stock performance. While banks like Citigroup maintain optimistic outlooks, the market's response has been muted. The key question is whether SpaceX can achieve the growth that would validate these projections, or if the targets will be revised downward.

The road ahead

The immediate challenge for SpaceX is to translate its technological leadership into stock market gains. With price targets set high, the company faces pressure to deliver results that match Wall Street's expectations. The next earnings report or major contract announcement could be a catalyst, but until then, the stock may continue to lag.

Why it matters

The persistence of such high price targets suggests that major financial institutions still see enormous long-term value in SpaceX, despite its current market performance. This could influence investor sentiment and trading behavior, as well as SpaceX's ability to raise capital or execute strategic moves. The gap between projections and actual stock performance may also signal broader market dynamics in the AI and space sectors.

The data

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10 storieslast on 31 Aug 2026

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Sources

TMRO Report writes original coverage based on the material listed above.